Probabilistic upscaling and aggregation of wind power forecasts
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Improved probabilistic wind power forecasts with an inverse power curve transformation and censored regression
Forecasting wind power is an important part of a successful integration of wind power into the power grid. Forecasts with lead times longer than 6 hours are generally made by using statistical methods to postprocess forecasts from numerical weather prediction systems. Two major problems that complicate this approach are the nonlinear relationship between wind speed and power production and the ...
متن کاملOptimal Bidding Strategies for Wind Power Producers with Meteorological Forecasts
In recent years, the interest in clean renewable energy resources, such as wind and photovoltaic, has grown rapidly. It is well known that the inherent variability in wind power generation and the related difficulty in predicting future generation profiles, raise major challenges to wind power integration into the electricity grid. In this work we study the problem of optimizing energy bids for...
متن کاملProbabilistic Power System Contingency Analysis Considering Wind
The worldwide demand for energy is steadily growing. Environmental pressure has driven the power generation shift from fossil fuel to more 'green' sources of supply, such as wind or solar. However, the intermittent nature of wind has also brought many uncertainties to network operation. Traditionally, to have a sufficiently secure operational margin, a transfer limit is calculated based on iter...
متن کاملProbabilistic Optimal Operation of a Smart Grid Including Wind Power Generator Units
This paper presents a probabilistic optimal power flow (POPF) algorithm considering different uncertainties in a smart grid. Different uncertainties such as variation of nodal load, change in system configuration, measuring errors, forecasting errors, and etc. can be considered in the proposed algorithm. By increasing the penetration of the renewable energies in power systems, it is more essent...
متن کاملProbabilistic Modeling and Statistical Characteristics of Aggregate Wind Power
The stochasticity of the electrical power output by wind turbines poses special challenges to power system operation and planning. Increasing penetration levels of wind and other weather-driven renewable resources exacerbate the uncertainty and variability that must be managed. This chapter focuses on the probabilistic modeling and statistical characteristics of aggregated wind power in large e...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Energy, Sustainability and Society
سال: 2020
ISSN: 2192-0567
DOI: 10.1186/s13705-020-00247-4